Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:19:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7aa6…b8ef
crypto · 1445 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1380 / 64
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1444 / 1445
History coverage31d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day47.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1444 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$5
14 days−$7
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 98¢ 98¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -1.8% -11.2% 93% 4% -10.3%
≤30d 1394 -0.2% -9.7% 95% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 1444 -0.0% -9.6% 96% 1% -9.4%
all 1444 -0.0% -9.6% 96% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 1% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.87 · official $7.96 (match) · 3500 history records