trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -28.3% | -35.1% | 20% | 20% | -33.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +25.7% | +13.7% | 50% | 50% | +19.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 41% | 41% | +21.7% |
| all | 22 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 41% | 41% | +21.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -16.0% | 41% | +21.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -24.0% | 41% | +10.1% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 41% | -0.6% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 41% | -10.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $175 | −$25 (-12%) |
| Matt Olson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | Over | 26¢ | 22¢ | $97 | $84 | −$13 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $25,333 | −$25,002 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $9,832 | −$9,690 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,462 | −$1,440 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $13,089 | +$22,911 | +175% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 13 | $4,062 | −$667 | -16% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $50,000 | +$39,606 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $21,624 | −$21,051 | -97% |
| UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main | Jun 07 | $4,140 | −$4,080 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $5,100 | +$10,034 | +197% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $10,189 | +$16,810 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $12,246 | +$15,466 | +126% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $15,207 | +$12,542 | +82% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $348 | −$340 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $938 | −$922 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $9,124 | +$7,525 | +82% |
| UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) | May 10 | $94 | −$91 | -97% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 09 | $520 | −$512 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $850 | −$835 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $9,113 | +$6,388 | +70% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $5,197 | +$4,285 | +82% |
| Will Byron Buxton win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby? | Apr 26 | $919 | −$919 | -100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Apr 26 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |