Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a94…6fdb
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$6 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-11%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+104%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$10 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 96% +$6
crypto 4% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? BUY Yes 5¢ $14 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 17h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $6 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -14.0% -22.2% 33% 33% +75.8%
≤30d 3 -14.0% -22.2% 33% 33% +75.8%
≤90d 3 -14.0% -22.2% 33% 33% +75.8%
all 3 -14.0% -22.2% 33% 33% +75.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.2% 33% +75.8%
10% -29.7% 33% +59.0%
15% -36.5% 33% +43.6%
20% -42.7% 33% +29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.55 · official $14.55 (match) · 6 history records