Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:57:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a8c…2c73
crypto · 338 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses111 / 224
Open positions3
Markets (closed)335 / 338
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day210.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 335 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 37¢ 38¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 18¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 39¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 37¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +351%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$5 +1074%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +841%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +218%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +182%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +228%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% -12.9%
≤30d 335 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% -12.9%
≤90d 335 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% -12.9%
all 335 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover210.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 33% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 33% -21.3%
15% -32.4% 31% -28.9%
20% -39.0% 31% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.95 · official $4.60 · 473 history records