trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -68.8% | -71.7% | 18% | 18% | -75.2% |
| ≤90d | 53 | -56.4% | -60.5% | 19% | 19% | -68.1% |
| all | 53 | -56.4% | -60.5% | 19% | 19% | -68.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -60.5% | 19% | -68.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -64.3% | 15% | -71.2% |
| 15% | -67.8% | 15% | -74.0% |
| 20% | -70.9% | 15% | -76.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $21 | $25 | +$4 (+17%) |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $12 | $10 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $8 | −$13 (-62%) |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $6 | −$12 (-65%) |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-50%) |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $1 | −$2 (-69%) |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+74%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 07 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 01 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $16 | −$12 | -73% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 31 | $69 | −$12 | -17% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 31 | $42 | −$24 | -57% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 30 | $33 | −$32 | -96% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 29 | $40 | −$33 | -81% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 28 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 25 | $12 | −$5 | -41% |
| Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 25 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $3 | +$2 | +76% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 22 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 21 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Victoria Azarenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 17 | $9 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 16 | $7 | −$1 | -14% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 13 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Danielle Collins win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 12 | $9 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Yulia Putintseva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 12 | $5 | −$2 | -36% |
| Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 12 | $9 | −$2 | -20% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 10 | $7 | +$4 | +60% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 07 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 04 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 03 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | May 02 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $1 | +$1 | +146% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Apr 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $5 | +$1 | +21% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 27 | $14 | −$11 | -81% |
| Avalanche vs. Kings | Apr 27 | $2 | +$1 | +60% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 26 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 26 | $1 | +$1 | +101% |