Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:02:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a7c…da5f
crypto · 11 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -7.0% -15.8% 55% 27% -22.6%
≤30d 11 -7.0% -15.8% 55% 27% -22.6%
≤90d 11 -7.0% -15.8% 55% 27% -22.6%
all 11 -7.0% -15.8% 55% 27% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 27% -22.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 27% -30.0%
15% -31.2% 0% -36.8%
20% -38.0% 0% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 22 history records