trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 29% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +2.4% | -7.3% | 38% | 8% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 44% | 19% | -8.9% |
| all | 17 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 41% | 18% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 18% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 12% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 6% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 6% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $69 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $55 | $55 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | $19 | $19 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 28 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 28 | $73 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 25 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | Jun 25 | $30 | +$3 | +9% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 25 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 25 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | May 26 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Feb 27 | $2 | $0 | -21% |