trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 17% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 12% | 0% | -15.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 12% | 0% | -15.0% |
| all | 24 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 33% | 0% | -12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.0% | 0% | -12.9% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 0% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 0% | -28.9% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 0% | -35.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $48 | −$15 | -32% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 01 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Apr 08 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 07 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 05 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 02 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Playboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200? | Mar 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 46°F or below on March 24? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring? | Mar 22 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $15 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 20 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08? | Mar 11 | $15 | $0 | +3% |