Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T04:55:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
7A 0x7a5c…c003 sports 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$86 (+1%) realized +$86 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%4W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$2,141per market
Trades / day11.0pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 4 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 4 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 0% -8.6%
all 4 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 0% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 0% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 0% -17.4%
15% -25.5% 0% -25.3%
20% -32.8% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 50% · top 2 96% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$22 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2,141
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 Jun 24 $1,154 +$1 +0%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 Jun 24 $2,747 +$39 +1%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $325 +$3 +1%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 Jun 24 $4,337 +$43 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 98¢ $328 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 97¢ $5 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 97¢ $320 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 100¢ $2 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 100¢ $949 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 100¢ $201 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1,972 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 98¢ $775 1h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 100¢ $1,154 2h
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $3,234 4h
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1,103 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 14 history records