Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:27:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a57…5970
crypto · 693 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$188 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$199 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized+$199
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses428 / 263
Open positions2
Markets (closed)691 / 693
Avg bet$4
Trades / day171.7
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 691 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$113
7 days+$199
14 days+$199
30 days+$199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 13¢ 2¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$20 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$28 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$188
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 691 +6.9% -3.2% 62% 60% -2.0%
≤30d 691 +6.9% -3.2% 62% 60% -2.0%
≤90d 691 +6.9% -3.2% 62% 60% -2.0%
all 691 +6.9% -3.2% 62% 60% -2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover171.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.2% 60% -2.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 56% -11.4%
15% -21.0% 44% -19.9%
20% -28.7% 28% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.68 · official $25.78 · 1343 history records