Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:52:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7A 0x7a56…cc51 crypto 120 markets active 2h ago coverage 21d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$132 (-22%) realized −$132 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate42%50W / 70L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day13.5pace
Kalshi-fit66%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$100
14 days−$112
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 64% −$75
other 30% −$39
weather 7% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -10.8% -19.3% 44% 41% -24.0%
≤30d 120 -17.4% -25.3% 42% 39% -29.6%
≤90d 120 -17.4% -25.3% 42% 39% -29.6%
all 120 -17.4% -25.3% 42% 39% -29.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.3% 39% -29.6%
10% -32.4% 34% -36.4%
15% -39.0% 23% -42.5%
20% -45.0% 18% -48.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -29% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -29% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$132
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses50 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 120 Trades
no open positions (49 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 -8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -78%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +25%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -66%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -35%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -31%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -40%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +38%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -84%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 14h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 318 history records