Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:00:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a52…1617
crypto · 1619 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,659 -54%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$58
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses678 / 570
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1248 / 1619
History coverage16d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day172.5
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 1248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$999
7 days−$504
14 days−$102
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 52¢ 88¢ $3 $4 +$2 (+68%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,442
other 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $0 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $0 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 882 -7.4% -16.2% 44% 43% -24.1%
≤30d 1248 +20.1% +8.6% 54% 53% -8.5%
≤90d 1248 +20.1% +8.6% 54% 53% -8.5%
all 1248 +20.1% +8.6% 54% 53% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.6% 53% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -1.8% 48% -17.2%
15% -11.3% 46% -25.2%
20% -20.0% 44% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.50 · official $8.04 (match) · 3500 history records