Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:11:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a43…0af9
crypto · 36 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7,389 -42%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,389 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,389
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses9 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)10%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage82d
Avg bet$487
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,677
7 days−$2,677
14 days−$2,677
30 days−$2,677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1,611 $0 −$1,611 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $878 $0 −$878 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$43 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $860 −$816 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $946 −$84 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1,618 −$1,611 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $736 +$925 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$26 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $201 −$197 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $912 −$878 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Mar 27 $397 −$395 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Mar 27 $300 −$297 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 27 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Mar 27 $779 −$166 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Mar 27 $100 +$184 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 27 $511 −$511 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Mar 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Mar 27 $735 +$570 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Mar 27 $558 −$558 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Mar 27 $651 −$93 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 26 $925 −$82 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 26 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 26 $743 −$92 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Mar 26 $896 +$29 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 25 $809 −$809 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 25 $896 −$87 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 25 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Mar 24 $800 −$800 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Mar 24 $800 −$800 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Mar 24 $638 −$638 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 23 $263 +$375 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Mar 23 $97 +$166 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Mar 23 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 23 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Mar 23 $350 −$350 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Mar 23 $190 +$166 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Mar 23 $80 +$106 +133%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7,389
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $307 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $347 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $862 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $842 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $327 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1,291 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $367 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $316 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $93 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $67 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $201 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $325 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $386 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $202 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $119 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $278 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $100 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $100 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $100 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $100 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $284 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $100 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $613 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $579 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $100 77d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -42.4% -47.9% 25% 25% -54.9%
≤30d 8 -42.4% -47.9% 25% 25% -54.9%
≤90d 36 -33.5% -39.9% 25% 22% -47.8%
all 36 -33.5% -39.9% 25% 22% -47.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.9% 22% -47.8%
10% -45.6% 22% -52.8%
15% -50.9% 22% -57.3%
20% -55.7% 19% -61.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 122 history records