Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:14:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a3f…6712
sports · 615 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,227 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$501 · open −$1,513
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,363
Realized−$501
Unrealized−$1,513
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses255 / 298
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$427
Open positions61
Markets (closed)553 / 615
History coverage8d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day362.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 61 History 553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$127
7 days−$1,165
14 days−$501
30 days−$501
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 72¢ 83¢ $1,811 $2,090 +$278 (+15%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 64¢ 72¢ $521 $582 +$61 (+12%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 40¢ $304 $305 +$2 (+0%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 36¢ 100¢ $73 $200 +$127 (+174%)
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 5.5 Corners Under 48¢ 46¢ $202 $198 −$5 (-2%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 54¢ $123 $139 +$17 (+13%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 48¢ 39¢ $155 $125 −$30 (-19%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Under 38¢ 53¢ $72 $101 +$29 (+40%)
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco Paris Basketball 77¢ 100¢ $64 $83 +$19 (+29%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Under 70¢ 74¢ $72 $75 +$4 (+5%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 Corners Over 44¢ 46¢ $44 $46 +$2 (+6%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 36¢ 69¢ $22 $42 +$20 (+90%)
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Germany 21¢ 14¢ $55 $38 −$17 (-31%)
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Nick Kyrgios Ben Shelton 59¢ 60¢ $30 $30 +$1 (+2%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 61¢ 68¢ $24 $27 +$3 (+12%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Corners Over 50¢ 36¢ $30 $21 −$9 (-29%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) Cincinnati Reds 71¢ 50¢ $28 $20 −$8 (-29%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Over 28¢ 78¢ $7 $20 +$13 (+178%)
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Germany 28¢ 16¢ $30 $17 −$12 (-41%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Los Angeles Angels 70¢ 86¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+23%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Milwaukee Brewers 74¢ 82¢ $15 $16 +$2 (+11%)
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 72¢ 100¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+39%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) Toronto Blue Jays 71¢ 50¢ $18 $12 −$5 (-30%)
Curaçao to score first vs. Germany? No 92¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage Uwinks 5¢ 4¢ $15 $11 −$4 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) Jun 14 $11 +$4 +40%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $458 −$458 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$1 -22%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $55 +$45 +83%
Nottingham Open: Iva Jovic vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 14 $109 −$4 -3%
Set 1 Winner: Sakatsume vs Dudeney Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 +160%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 +116%
Set 2 Winner: Hijikata vs Giron Jun 14 $2 +$3 +134%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $134 +$291 +216%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $61 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $69 −$9 -13%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Sonego vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $6 +$4 +57%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Jun 14 $52 −$2 -3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $19 +$11 +55%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 14 $24 +$6 +26%
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Agut Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Bartunkova vs Gauff Jun 14 $52 −$2 -3%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Coco Gauff Jun 14 $50 −$2 -3%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $13 +$2 +14%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $23 +$17 +72%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $26 +$4 +16%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $287 −$21 -7%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $235 −$9 -4%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $101 +$14 +14%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $353 +$124 +35%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $37 +$58 +158%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $53 +$47 +90%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) Jun 14 $12 +$18 +158%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $54 −$34 -63%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) Jun 14 $52 +$8 +16%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 14 $51 +$9 +17%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 14 $83 +$17 +20%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $205 −$5 -2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$1,218
other 15% −$771
crypto 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers v BUY No 55¢ $3 1m
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers v BUY No 55¢ $8 1m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 21¢ $13 4m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 21¢ $21 4m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 21¢ $21 4m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 51¢ $31 22m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 BUY Under 51¢ $0 22m
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 51¢ $1 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $5 23m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 32¢ $2 24m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 28¢ $29 24m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 BUY Over 1¢ $1 24m
Miami Marlins winning after 5 innings? BUY No 1¢ $1 24m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 70¢ $71 24m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 41¢ $13 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 68¢ $2 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 38¢ $6 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 38¢ $6 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 37¢ $6 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 37¢ $38 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 37¢ $6 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 19¢ $20 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 35¢ $5 28m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 27¢ $3 28m
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Uwinks 5¢ $1 55m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 5¢ $2 55m
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Uwinks 5¢ $1 57m
Overwatch: VARREL vs Uwinks (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Uwinks 5¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $0 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 31¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 465 +1.7% -8.0% 45% 42% -13.0%
≤30d 553 +4.9% -5.1% 46% 43% -10.9%
≤90d 553 +4.9% -5.1% 46% 43% -10.9%
all 553 +4.9% -5.1% 46% 43% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover362.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 43% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 37% -19.4%
15% -22.5% 31% -27.2%
20% -30.1% 25% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,362.74 · official $4,358.52 (match) · 3500 history records