Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a3f…12b9
other · 60 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$60 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses15 / 37
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions8
Markets (closed)52 / 60
History coverage99d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 8 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$11
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 16¢ 76¢ $10 $46 +$36 (+358%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 24¢ 46¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+90%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 45¢ 84¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+88%)
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 11¢ 2¢ $20 $3 −$17 (-86%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-79%)
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-63%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-92%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes 16¢ 1¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-93%)
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Rico 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? No 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 13 $41 +$28 +70%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $102 +$47 +46%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr May 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pri May 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix May 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven May 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? May 11 $5 +$31 +596%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 03 $5 +$9 +179%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr May 03 $15 +$13 +84%
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 02 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 02 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 02 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 02 $56 −$55 -99%
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 May 02 $5 +$26 +510%
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand May 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 01 $15 −$15 -97%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Mar 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Mar 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Mar 15 $10 +$11 +108%
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 15 $10 −$5 -48%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 15 $50 +$83 +167%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 15 $10 +$57 +573%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Gr Mar 15 $5 +$33 +669%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Mar 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Mar 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Norris? Mar 09 $10 +$7 +67%
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Mar 09 $20 +$34 +172%
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Mar 09 $30 +$31 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 07 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Mar 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Mar 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Mar 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Mar 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% −$95
sports 20% +$97
crypto 2% −$5
culture 2% −$15
politics 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 45¢ $10 1h
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, SELL Yes 39¢ $16 22h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 8¢ $10 23h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 32¢ $10 24h
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY Yes 15¢ $10 24h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 7d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 54¢ $55 14d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 34¢ $41 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 66¢ $148 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 44¢ $102 15d
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr BUY Yes 8¢ $5 21d
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pri BUY Yes 4¢ $5 21d
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix BUY Yes 7¢ $5 21d
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven BUY Rico 7¢ $10 21d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? BUY Yes 12¢ $21 21d
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? BUY Yes 31¢ $20 21d
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, BUY Yes 46¢ $10 35d
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 35d
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, BUY Yes 24¢ $5 35d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 37d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 37d
Will Trump visit China by May 15? BUY No 11¢ $10 37d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? SELL Yes 97¢ $14 41d
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr SELL Yes 40¢ $28 41d
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr BUY Yes 21¢ $15 42d
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -44.7% -50.0% 40% 20% -10.1%
≤30d 13 -67.5% -70.6% 23% 15% -19.4%
≤90d 28 -21.7% -29.2% 25% 21% -31.5%
all 52 -2.0% -11.4% 29% 27% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 27% -13.5%
10% -19.8% 27% -21.8%
15% -27.6% 27% -29.3%
20% -34.7% 25% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.74 · official $91.75 (match) · 79 history records