Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:00:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a3d…b554
crypto · 87 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses53 / 32
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)85 / 87
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$7
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 70¢ 64¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-8%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 74¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 31 $4 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 31 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 31 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 31 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 31 $3 +$3 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +41%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 31 $1 $0 -46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$4
other 9% +$1
sports 5% +$4
politics 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 57¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $4 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $2 46h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 46h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1 47h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +42.4% +28.8% 82% 73% +25.1%
≤30d 85 -3.7% -12.9% 62% 56% -8.7%
≤90d 85 -3.7% -12.9% 62% 56% -8.7%
all 85 -3.7% -12.9% 62% 56% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 56% -8.7%
10% -21.2% 52% -17.5%
15% -28.9% 39% -25.5%
20% -35.8% 26% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.89 · official $9.89 (match) · 204 history records