trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -19.9% | -27.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -7.9% | -16.6% | 64% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 71% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 25 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 76% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET | Jun 16 | $5,313 | +$24 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 15 | $8,594 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 15 | $8,597 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $8,602 | −$10 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 2 | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Cont | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 18? | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | Apr 18 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Apr 18 | $3 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Apr 18 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of February? | Mar 16 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? | Mar 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Feb 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting | Feb 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 06 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January? | Feb 06 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Jan 22 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 19? | Dec 20 | $4,815 | +$68 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 19? | Dec 19 | $4,825 | −$10 | -0% |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Dec 18 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 7? | Dec 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |