Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a1b…3a67
crypto · 1550 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$107 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1201 / 349
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1550 / 1550
History coverage43d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1550 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$10
14 days−$3
30 days−$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 345 -1.1% -10.5% 81% 68% -12.1%
≤30d 1521 -1.3% -10.7% 77% 63% -11.6%
≤90d 1550 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 62% -11.6%
all 1550 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 62% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 62% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 45% -20.1%
15% -27.1% 13% -27.8%
20% -34.2% 3% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2844 history records