Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a12…40d8
sports · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$227 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$237 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$439
Realized−$237
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses24 / 34
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions9
Markets (closed)58 / 67
History coverage91d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 9 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$89
14 days−$89
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 79¢ 81¢ $349 $360 +$11 (+3%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 49¢ 49¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 45¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 Yes 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? No 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) Lakers 58¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Yes 61¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 13 $50 −$46 -93%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 +$7 +76%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$25 +246%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 06 $9 −$9 -97%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 06 $59 −$58 -99%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5 Apr 27 $18 +$10 +59%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 Apr 26 $20 −$20 -99%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 26 $30 $0 +1%
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5 Apr 26 $10 −$2 -20%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) Apr 26 $16 −$16 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Apr 26 $10 +$9 +89%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5 Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-9.5) Apr 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) Apr 26 $15 +$13 +86%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 26 $10 +$10 +97%
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5 Apr 25 $10 +$7 +67%
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5 Apr 25 $10 +$8 +79%
Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5 Apr 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5 Apr 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 25 $25 +$18 +70%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5 Apr 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Nuggets vs. Lakers Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5 Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-9.5) Apr 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5 Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bucks vs. Hawks Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 Apr 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5 Apr 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Apr 25 $28 −$28 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-7.5) Apr 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5 Apr 25 $50 −$50 -100%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5 Apr 25 $25 +$18 +72%
Spread: Rockets (-9.5) Apr 25 $26 +$20 +79%
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5 Apr 25 $25 +$25 +101%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5 Apr 25 $25 +$22 +90%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5 Apr 25 $24 +$18 +76%
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5 Apr 23 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-19.5) Apr 23 $27 +$8 +31%
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5 Apr 23 $10 +$8 +81%
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5 Apr 23 $10 +$8 +82%
Spread: Pistons (-8.5) Apr 22 $10 $0 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16? Mar 16 $10 −$1 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$241
other 5% +$14
crypto 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $10 47m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $10 1h
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 3¢ $4 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $43 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 55¢ $10 12h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $35 16h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 56¢ $9 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $9 20h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 20h
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 20h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 20h
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? BUY No 8¢ $9 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $30 6d
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 61¢ $59 6d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 79¢ $351 6d
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 37¢ $50 6d
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 BUY Yes 53¢ $20 47d
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 62¢ $18 47d
Lakers vs. Rockets SELL Lakers 44¢ $30 47d
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5 SELL Yes 43¢ $8 47d
Lakers vs. Rockets BUY Lakers 45¢ $20 47d
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5 BUY Yes 53¢ $10 47d
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) BUY Lakers 58¢ $16 47d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Spurs 100¢ $19 47d
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) SELL Raptors 100¢ $27 47d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +2.6% -7.1% 44% 44% -48.7%
≤30d 9 +2.6% -7.1% 44% 44% -48.7%
≤90d 50 -20.9% -28.4% 40% 38% -34.2%
all 58 -17.9% -25.7% 41% 38% -31.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.7% 38% -31.9%
10% -32.8% 36% -38.4%
15% -39.3% 33% -44.4%
20% -45.3% 31% -49.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $438.52 · official $438.52 (match) · 136 history records