Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T21:26:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7A 0x7a11…74e5 crypto 317 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (238 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$82 (-0%) realized −$82 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate72%227W / 89L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$101per market
Trades / day238.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$553
7 days−$91
14 days−$365
30 days−$597
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$597
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (238 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +1.8% -7.9% 76% 46% -10.1%
≤30d 316 +0.6% -9.0% 72% 46% -11.2%
≤90d 316 +0.6% -9.0% 72% 46% -11.2%
all 316 +0.6% -9.0% 72% 46% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover238.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 46% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 10% -19.7%
15% -25.6% 6% -27.5%
20% -32.9% 4% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$48 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses227 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)316 / 317
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$101
Trades / day238.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 316 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 28 $150 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 28 $150 −$35 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 28 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 28 $150 −$43 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 28 $150 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 28 $150 −$134 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 28 $69 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 28 $150 −$46 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 28 $150 −$48 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 28 $150 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 28 $104 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 28 $150 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 28 $150 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 28 $150 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 28 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $150 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 28 $54 +$15 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 28 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 28 $150 +$86 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $93 +$159 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 27 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $158 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 27 $150 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 27 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $150 −$13 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $150 −$139 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $150 −$83 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 27 $46 −$12 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $150 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $150 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $150 −$92 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $196 −$27 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 27 $62 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $62 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 27 $102 +$16 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 27 $131 +$16 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 27 $195 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 27 $150 +$38 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $150 −$73 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 27 $150 −$120 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $150 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $150 +$19 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records