Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:18:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7A 0x7a0e…17e3 crypto 381 markets active 4d ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$34 (-4%) realized −$34 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate40%152W / 229L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day112.8pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$9
14 days−$59
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 61% −$25
other 11% −$24
weather 10% −$3
sports 9% −$7
culture 7% −$1
world 1% $0
politics 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -10.9% -19.4% 34% 17% -20.5%
≤30d 381 -6.3% -15.2% 40% 27% -15.9%
≤90d 381 -6.3% -15.2% 40% 27% -15.9%
all 381 -6.3% -15.2% 40% 27% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 27% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 13% -24.0%
15% -30.7% 4% -31.3%
20% -37.5% 1% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses152 / 229
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)381 / 381
History coverage10d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day112.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 381 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Jun 23 $1 $0 -2%
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? Jun 23 $1 $0 -3%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $1 $0 -7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -27%
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 23 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +26%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5 Jun 23 $1 $0 +28%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Jun 23 $4 $0 -5%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $1 $0 -2%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Jun 23 $1 $0 -1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Jeline Vandromme vs Yue Yuan Jun 23 $1 $0 +27%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 23 $1 $0 -29%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Carol Young Suh Lee Jun 23 $1 $0 +28%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 23 $1 $0 +27%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ella McDonald vs Elvina Kalieva Jun 23 $1 $0 -19%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie Havlickova Jun 23 $1 $0 -20%
Targu Mures: Radu Albot vs Duje Ajdukovic Jun 23 $1 $0 -22%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group B Jun 23 $1 $0 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? SELL Yes 85¢ $1 4d
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? SELL No 77¢ $1 4d
Will England win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 79¢ $1 4d
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? BUY No 78¢ $1 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1123 history records