trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 25% | 25% | -24.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 25% | 25% | -24.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 25% | 25% | -24.4% |
| all | 19 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 16% | 16% | -25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.1% | 16% | -25.6% |
| 10% | -30.4% | 16% | -32.7% |
| 15% | -37.2% | 16% | -39.2% |
| 20% | -43.3% | 16% | -45.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $13 | +$9 | +68% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$3 | -55% |
| US recession in 2025? | Oct 26 | $17 | −$5 | -27% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Oct 26 | $48 | −$4 | -9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2025? | Oct 26 | $4 | −$1 | -29% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Oct 26 | $212 | −$17 | -8% |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? | Oct 26 | $151 | −$18 | -12% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Oct 26 | $100 | −$50 | -50% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30? | Oct 21 | $1 | $0 | -20% |