Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7a00…d958
sports · 717 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$489 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$488 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$488
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses407 / 309
Est. fees paid−$384
Open positions1
Markets (closed)716 / 717
History coverage69d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 716 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days+$94
14 days+$50
30 days+$239
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 58¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner GAM Esports 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 33¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 60¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 51¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A Abyssal 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Wanted Goons 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner NRG 45¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 60¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner B8 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 74¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 75¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner M80 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $79 −$13 -16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$15 +108%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $60 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $56 +$16 +28%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $38 +$8 +21%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 +$12 +31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $64 −$28 -43%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$17 +33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$22 +54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $60 −$21 -36%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$25 +190%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $121 +$5 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $67 −$32 -48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $19 +$10 +52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $36 +$21 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $45 −$44 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 +$5 +16%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$14 +40%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $38 +$14 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $40 +$14 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$28 +249%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $17 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $32 +$24 +74%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$6 +41%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $73 +$4 +6%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $14 +$8 +55%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $19 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +122%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $34 +$11 +32%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $27 −$18 -67%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $21 −$6 -28%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $18 +$7 +38%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $15 +$7 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $9 +$12 +130%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $28 −$12 -44%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $30 −$21 -71%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $35 +$9 +25%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $7 −$7 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$475
crypto 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 65¢ $66 8m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $19 36m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 76¢ $60 38m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 7¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $30 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 42¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY Wanted Goons 32¢ $4 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $30 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $60 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 20¢ $12 18h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $72 18h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 77¢ $56 18h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $46 18h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 82¢ $38 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $49 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $37 19h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $37 21h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 31¢ $20 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $28 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 64¢ $68 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 42¢ $14 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $6 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $31 21h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 80¢ $30 21h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $61 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $22 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ $42 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $39 22h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 64¢ $40 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 49¢ $20 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 +3.2% -6.6% 60% 58% -6.3%
≤30d 310 -3.6% -12.8% 55% 52% -6.6%
≤90d 716 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 52% -11.2%
all 716 -6.7% -15.6% 57% 52% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 52% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 42% -19.7%
15% -31.0% 31% -27.4%
20% -37.8% 20% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 1854 history records