Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79ff…f08c
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$9 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 14 $7 +$7 +97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$4 -51%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$4 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 77% +$8
crypto 23% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 71¢ $8 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $11 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 29¢ $4 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $7 46h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $7 46h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $11 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +28.1% +15.9% 67% 67% +17.3%
≤30d 3 +28.1% +15.9% 67% 67% +17.3%
≤90d 3 +28.1% +15.9% 67% 67% +17.3%
all 3 +28.1% +15.9% 67% 67% +17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.9% 67% +17.3%
10% +4.8% 67% +6.0%
15% -5.3% 67% -4.2%
20% -14.6% 33% -13.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.84 · official $17.84 (match) · 8 history records