Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:48:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x79f9…d62c crypto 738 markets active 2d ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (168 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$173 (-9%) realized −$173 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate26%194W / 544L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day168.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$185
14 days−$211
30 days−$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$211
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (168 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 658 -15.3% -23.3% 25% 16% -19.5%
≤30d 738 -15.3% -23.4% 26% 17% -19.7%
≤90d 738 -15.3% -23.4% 26% 17% -19.7%
all 738 -15.3% -23.4% 26% 17% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover168.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 17% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 13% -27.4%
15% -37.4% 11% -34.4%
20% -43.5% 10% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.38 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses194 / 544
Open positions0
Markets (closed)738 / 738
History coverage11d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day168.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 738 Trades
no open positions (123 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $0 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1959 history records