Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79eb…4324
crypto · 991 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,734 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,734 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,734
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses549 / 658
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1207 / 991
History coverage161d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 1207 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$193
7 days−$193
14 days−$572
30 days−$596
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) Chelsea FC 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-1.5) Vermont Catamounts 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-16? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Trail Blazers 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Over 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Under 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$89 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utah Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$2 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Hawks Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
O/U 3.5 Rounds Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Army Black Knights vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. American Eagles: O/U 155.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Fordham Rams vs. Dayton Flyers Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Georgia State Panthers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Flyers vs. Flames Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikings Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Watford FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-31.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$441
other 1% −$478
sports 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $183 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $152 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $431 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $304 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $304 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $240 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $234 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $132 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $158 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $190 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $154 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $152 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $175 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $155 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $160 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $153 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $157 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-30.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 -70.1% -72.9% 15% 12% -11.9%
≤30d 510 -41.7% -47.2% 33% 23% -15.5%
≤90d 716 -33.8% -40.1% 38% 28% -20.4%
all 1207 -22.8% -30.2% 45% 34% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.2% 34% -14.2%
10% -36.9% 27% -22.5%
15% -43.0% 21% -29.9%
20% -48.6% 16% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.96 · official $1.96 (match) · 3500 history records