Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:55:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79de…db49
other · 48 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$30 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$284
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses6 / 25
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions17
Markets (closed)31 / 48
History coverage78d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 17 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$11
14 days−$9
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 83¢ 89¢ $92 $99 +$7 (+7%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $51 $53 +$2 (+4%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $27 $24 −$3 (-11%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $24 $23 −$2 (-6%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 10¢ 16¢ $14 $20 +$7 (+50%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $17 $15 −$2 (-11%)
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 7¢ 18¢ $5 $12 +$8 (+157%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+17%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 16¢ 20¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+30%)
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-30%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 29¢ 12¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-60%)
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? No 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $7 −$2 -23%
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 08 $6 −$2 -26%
Will Anyone's Legend win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 08 $5 −$3 -58%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $1 $0 +19%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $4 −$1 -19%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $199 −$3 -2%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $14 −$1 -5%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $38 +$6 +16%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 31 $9 −$3 -32%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $34 −$6 -16%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 28 $3 −$1 -43%
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2 May 25 $7 +$7 +104%
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? May 24 $2 −$1 -54%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 21 $20 −$1 -6%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 17 $9 −$6 -71%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? May 15 $2 −$1 -24%
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? May 07 $3 −$2 -49%
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? May 06 $8 $0 +4%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Apr 29 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? Apr 29 $9 −$1 -6%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Apr 26 $3 $0 -6%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 19 $20 $0 +2%
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standing Apr 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Apr 18 $3 −$1 -24%
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Apr 16 $1 +$1 +78%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Apr 15 $16 −$2 -15%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Apr 11 $2 $0 -22%
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Apr 05 $4 $0 -0%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Apr 04 $2 −$1 -35%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Apr 01 $8 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$10
sports 12% +$2
crypto 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 1m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $3 10m
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $6 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 9h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 9h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 9h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 14h
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 15h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 23h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 23h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 3d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 3d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $5 3d
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 4d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 4d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 4d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $3 4d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 5d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 5d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 5d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 5d
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? SELL No 44¢ $4 5d
Will Anyone's Legend win LPL 2026 Split 2? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 5d
Will Anyone's Legend win LPL 2026 Split 2? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 5d
Will Anyone's Legend win LPL 2026 Split 2? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -28.7% -35.5% 14% 14% -14.1%
≤30d 17 -19.6% -27.3% 18% 18% -13.9%
≤90d 31 -18.6% -26.4% 19% 13% -14.6%
all 31 -18.6% -26.4% 19% 13% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.4% 13% -14.6%
10% -33.4% 6% -22.8%
15% -39.9% 6% -30.3%
20% -45.8% 6% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $284.22 · official $284.22 (match) · 320 history records