Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:07:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x79b0…4678 crypto 284 markets active 2h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$34 (-0%) realized −$34 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate7%19W / 265L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$54per market
Trades / day10.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 33% −$23
other 30% −$6
weather 19% −$5
economics 7% −$1
world 4% −$1
politics 3% $0
tech 2% $0
finance 1% $0
culture 1% $0
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 102 +0.2% -9.3% 2% 1% -9.6%
≤90d 284 -0.5% -10.0% 7% 3% -9.7%
all 284 -0.5% -10.0% 7% 3% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 3% -9.7%
10% -18.6% 2% -18.4%
15% -26.5% 1% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$0 · ×5.58 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses19 / 265
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)284 / 284
History coverage56d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 284 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 21? Jun 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 21? Jun 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June? Jun 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June? Jun 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me Jun 20 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me Jun 20 $45 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 15-21? Jun 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in June 2026? Jun 19 $47 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in June 2026? Jun 19 $47 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 19 $45 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 19 $45 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $46 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $45 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $43 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $43 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $45 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $46 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $46 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $45 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $45 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 6? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 6? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? Jun 06 $46 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $10 in June? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $160 in June? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? Jun 06 $45 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? Jun 06 $45 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? Jun 06 $45 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? Jun 06 $45 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 06 $93 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $46 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $10 +$5 +47%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 2? Jun 02 $45 $0 -0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 2? Jun 02 $48 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 02 $45 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $48 $0 -0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $45 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 May 31 $48 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 21? SELL No 100¢ $47 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 21? BUY No 100¢ $47 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 21? SELL No 100¢ $47 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 21? BUY No 100¢ $47 2h
Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June? SELL No 100¢ $47 2h
Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June? BUY No 100¢ $47 2h
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June? SELL No 100¢ $47 2h
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June? BUY No 100¢ $47 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me SELL No 99¢ $45 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $45 2h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me SELL No 99¢ $45 2h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $45 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20? SELL No 100¢ $47 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20? BUY No 100¢ $47 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 15-21? SELL No 100¢ $47 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 15-21? BUY No 100¢ $47 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20? SELL No 100¢ $47 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20? BUY No 100¢ $47 2h
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $47 23h
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 23h
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $47 23h
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 23h
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $47 23h
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $48 23h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $48 23h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $48 23h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $48 23h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $48 23h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $48 23h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $48 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 594 history records