Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79a8…06d1
crypto · 23 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses14 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $6 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 26% -11.9%
≤30d 23 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 26% -11.9%
≤90d 23 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 26% -11.9%
all 23 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 26% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 26% -11.9%
10% -21.5% 17% -20.4%
15% -29.1% 9% -28.1%
20% -36.1% 4% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 62 history records