trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| South Africa leading at halftime? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $138 | $0 | −$138 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $103 | −$45 | -43% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $199 | −$136 | -68% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $507 | −$290 | -57% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $146 | +$148 | +102% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $422 | −$182 | -43% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $509 | −$97 | -19% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Mexico leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $457 | +$506 | +111% |
| South Africa leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $142 | −$138 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 22% | 22% | -19.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 22% | 22% | -19.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 22% | 22% | -19.0% |
| all | 9 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 22% | 22% | -19.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.5% | 22% | -19.0% |
| 10% | -38.1% | 22% | -26.7% |
| 15% | -44.0% | 22% | -33.8% |
| 20% | -49.5% | 22% | -40.3% |