Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:57:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x79a6…7477
crypto · 431 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$438 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$452 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$452
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses176 / 255
Open positions2
Markets (closed)431 / 431
History coverage3d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day340.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$400
7 days−$452
14 days−$452
30 days−$452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $10 $24 +$14 (+144%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 44¢ 42¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$20 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$107 +508%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$17 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$19 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$20 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$19 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$17 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$18 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$18 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$16 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$14 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$27 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$11 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$17 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$20 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$18 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$17 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$419
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 431 -9.0% -17.7% 41% 36% -13.4%
≤30d 431 -9.0% -17.7% 41% 36% -13.4%
≤90d 431 -9.0% -17.7% 41% 36% -13.4%
all 431 -9.0% -17.7% 41% 36% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover340.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 36% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 30% -21.7%
15% -32.8% 22% -29.3%
20% -39.4% 17% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.02 · official $45.02 · 3500 history records