trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +685.4% | +610.6% | 100% | 100% | +610.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +685.4% | +610.6% | 100% | 100% | +610.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +11.8% | +1.1% | 47% | 20% | +177.3% |
| all | 15 | +11.8% | +1.1% | 47% | 20% | +177.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.1% | 20% | +177.3% |
| 10% | -8.6% | 13% | +150.7% |
| 15% | -17.4% | 13% | +126.5% |
| 20% | -25.5% | 13% | +104.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 69¢ | $21 | $21 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $8 | $7 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | Yes | 66¢ | 52¢ | $6 | $4 | −$1 (-21%) |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+19%) |
| Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$352 | +685% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | May 21 | $23 | −$22 | -97% |
| Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings? | May 11 | $29 | +$42 | +144% |
| Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | May 09 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will de Goes Rodrygo be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | Apr 16 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $4 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Fulham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 202 | Apr 11 | $8 | −$6 | -80% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 11 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premi | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bryan Mbeumo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premie | Mar 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |