Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:23:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x799f…e7dc crypto 71 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$122 (+7%) realized +$122 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate38%27W / 44L
Drawdown57%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day87.4pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$312
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +7.9% -2.3% 38% 37% +7.5%
≤30d 71 +7.9% -2.3% 38% 37% +7.5%
≤90d 71 +7.9% -2.3% 38% 37% +7.5%
all 71 +7.9% -2.3% 38% 37% +7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.3% 37% +7.5%
10% ← realistic here -11.7% 35% -2.8%
15% -20.2% 27% -12.2%
20% -28.0% 18% -20.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +19% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$13 · ×2.51 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.54 per $1 lost it wins $1.54
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses27 / 44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day87.4
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 71 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $234 +$104 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $55 +$21 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $46 +$55 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $66 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 27 $18 +$104 +572%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 27 $74 +$59 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$19 +412%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $99 +$86 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$23 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $17 +$163 +942%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$32 +354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $34 −$26 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $40 +$17 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $14 +$10 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $23 −$21 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $28 −$21 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $28 +$12 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$32 +271%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $87 +$54 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $37 −$18 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $32 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 270 history records