Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:33:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x799b…968b crypto 498 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$794 (-1%) realized −$794 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate84%417W / 81L
Whale WR95%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$150per market
Trades / day72.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$89
7 days+$32
14 days−$1,051
30 days−$1,051
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,051
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 +0.1% -9.5% 71% 38% -9.3%
≤30d 498 +0.9% -8.7% 84% 23% -10.8%
≤90d 498 +0.9% -8.7% 84% 23% -10.8%
all 498 +0.9% -8.7% 84% 23% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 23% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 9% -19.3%
15% -25.4% 5% -27.1%
20% -32.8% 3% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 95% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$54 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$794
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses417 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)498 / 498
History coverage11d
Avg bet$150
Trades / day72.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 498 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$19 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$20 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$20 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $51 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $51 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $51 −$19 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $51 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $51 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $52 −$17 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$14 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $103 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $105 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$13 +247%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $46 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $16 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $55 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $56 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $60 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $71 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $29 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $58 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $45 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $32 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $51 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1171 history records