trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 89% | 33% | -18.2% |
| all | 26 | +4.2% | -5.8% | 92% | 19% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.8% | 19% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 15% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 12% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 12% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $68 | $68 | −$0 (-0%) |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 02 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May | Jun 02 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In | May 24 | $479 | −$474 | -99% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Kor | May 19 | $404 | +$75 | +18% |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $266 | +$138 | +52% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 14 | $208 | +$57 | +27% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $207 | +$2 | +1% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 08 | $207 | $0 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Mar 30 | $205 | +$2 | +1% |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Feb 28 | $1,411 | +$4 | +0% |
| LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Feb 22 | $1,393 | +$18 | +1% |
| LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner | Feb 18 | $1,295 | +$97 | +8% |
| Heat vs. Pelicans | Feb 12 | $1,291 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 03 | $126 | +$174 | +138% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Feb 03 | $300 | +$155 | +52% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jan 30 | $595 | +$13 | +2% |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | Jan 23 | $940 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025? | Jan 13 | $450 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 07 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $63 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $76 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $104 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $132 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $176 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $822 | +$2 | +0% |