Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:08:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
79 0x7988…d97b crypto 720 markets active 5d ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (148 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$627 (-5%) realized −$627 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate49%352W / 368L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day147.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$260
14 days−$746
30 days−$746
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$746
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (148 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -7.9% -16.7% 52% 42% -11.9%
≤30d 720 -7.4% -16.2% 49% 43% -15.0%
≤90d 720 -7.4% -16.2% 49% 43% -15.0%
all 720 -7.4% -16.2% 49% 43% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover147.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 43% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 41% -23.1%
15% -31.6% 39% -30.5%
20% -38.3% 37% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$627
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses352 / 368
Open positions0
Markets (closed)720 / 720
History coverage9d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day147.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 720 Trades
no open positions (293 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $199 −$197 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$20 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $240 −$4 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $211 +$45 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $116 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $131 −$2 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$49 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$45 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$54 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$95 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$29 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$28 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$26 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$45 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$9 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$13 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$48 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $104 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $53 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $105 +$61 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$10 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $111 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $214 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$51 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $13 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $155 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $90 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $24 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $24 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $46 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1724 history records