Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x797f…37e8
crypto · 1241 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$679 +57%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$679 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$679
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses45 / 500
Open positions0
Markets (closed)545 / 1241
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day225.5
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$329
14 days+$679
30 days+$679
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$679
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-49.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 412 -36.1% -42.2% 10% 3% +0.3%
≤30d 545 -44.0% -49.3% 8% 2% +6.2%
≤90d 545 -44.0% -49.3% 8% 2% +6.2%
all 545 -44.0% -49.3% 8% 2% +6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover225.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.3% 2% +6.2%
10% ← realistic here -54.2% 2% -4.0%
15% -58.6% 2% -13.3%
20% -62.7% 2% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2626 history records