Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:41:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x797a…ffa6
crypto · 78 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$238 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$228 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$228
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses29 / 48
Open positions1
Markets (closed)77 / 78
History coverage3d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day58.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$193
7 days−$228
14 days−$228
30 days−$228
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$27 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$20 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$11 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$12 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$65 +1219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Jun 12 $15 −$12 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$66 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $106 +$36 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$18 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$126 +297%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$32 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$139
weather 4% −$67
other 1% −$20
politics 1% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $23 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $14 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $70 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $52 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $16 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $52 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -10.6% -19.1% 38% 35% -20.2%
≤30d 77 -10.6% -19.1% 38% 35% -20.2%
≤90d 77 -10.6% -19.1% 38% 35% -20.2%
all 77 -10.6% -19.1% 38% 35% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 35% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 31% -27.8%
15% -33.9% 27% -34.8%
20% -40.4% 25% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.15 · official $12.17 · 192 history records