trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 | Over | 42¢ | 20¢ | $43 | $21 | −$22 (-51%) |
| Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Virtanen | Virtanen | 17¢ | 0¢ | $49 | $0 | −$49 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | HOTU | 3¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Rodriguez vs. Coria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Over | 72¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils | Andrey Rublev | 19¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik | Alexander Bublik | 7¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Jun 14 | $76 | −$32 | -43% |
| Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Jun 13 | $38 | +$5 | +13% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 13 | $96 | +$18 | +19% |
| Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils | Apr 19 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30? | Apr 19 | $9 | −$4 | -42% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Virtanen | Apr 14 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik | Apr 14 | $69 | −$19 | -27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rodriguez vs. Coria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Apr 13 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 67% | 67% | -13.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 67% | 67% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -61.5% | -65.2% | 18% | 18% | -43.8% |
| all | 11 | -61.5% | -65.2% | 18% | 18% | -43.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -65.2% | 18% | -43.8% |
| 10% | -68.5% | 0% | -49.1% |
| 15% | -71.6% | 0% | -54.1% |
| 20% | -74.3% | 0% | -58.6% |