Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:14:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7965…720e
other · 60 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$26 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses18 / 41
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)59 / 60
History coverage612d
Avg bet$298
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $45 $45 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $12 $0 -0%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 07 $13 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? Jun 05 $22 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? Jun 05 $26 $0 +0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 28 $29 $0 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 26 $16 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju May 22 $14 $0 -0%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers May 22 $9 +$10 +101%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $10 $0 -0%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 20 $14 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 19 $13 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 18 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 11 $61 $0 -0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6? May 07 $30 +$1 +2%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $71 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $70 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 23 $73 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 23 $65 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 23 $73 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 22 $67 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 19 $72 $0 -0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 18 $66 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $67 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 18 $66 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 17 $70 $0 -0%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Rockets vs. Suns Apr 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $6 +$4 +79%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $9 +$5 +62%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $12 +$6 +48%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 08 $7 +$5 +75%
Bulls vs. Wizards Apr 08 $13 +$6 +48%
Lakers vs. Thunder Apr 06 $3 −$3 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Car Apr 02 $36 −$36 -100%
Blues vs. Sharks Apr 02 $31 −$31 -100%
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? Apr 02 $44 $0 +1%
Blackhawks vs. Devils Mar 30 $29 +$18 +64%
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Mar 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Pelicans vs. Pistons Mar 27 $40 +$21 +54%
Lakers vs. Pistons Mar 26 $19 +$23 +122%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? Mar 23 $23 +$10 +41%
Flames vs. Red Wings Mar 17 $25 +$15 +59%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Mar 16 $22 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February? Mar 05 $83 $0 +1%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? Feb 13 $82 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Dec 26 $13,516 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 09 $23 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$13
politics 15% −$10
other 6% +$9
sports 2% −$12
economics 1% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? BUY No 99¢ $45 1h
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $12 11h
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $12 14h
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 100¢ $13 7d
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $13 7d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $13 9d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $13 9d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $14 17d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $14 17d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 18d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 18d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $22 19d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $16 19d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $16 19d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? BUY No 100¢ $26 22d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $14 23d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $14 23d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Cleveland Guardians 49¢ $9 24d
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $14 25d
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $14 25d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on SELL No 100¢ $13 25d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY No 100¢ $13 26d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 27d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $62 27d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $61 33d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $61 33d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 41¢ $5 35d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6? BUY No 98¢ $30 39d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 13 +7.7% -2.6% 23% 8% -6.2%
≤90d 44 +1.2% -8.4% 34% 25% -9.6%
all 59 +0.4% -9.2% 31% 19% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 19% -9.7%
10% -17.9% 19% -18.3%
15% -25.8% 19% -26.2%
20% -33.1% 14% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.96 · official $44.96 (match) · 286 history records