Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7951…bb41
sports · 253 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51,341 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51,624 · open +$65
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5,492
Realized−$51,624
Unrealized+$65
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses165 / 493
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$5,107
Open positions9
Markets (closed)658 / 253
Avg bet$690
Trades / day104.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 9 History 658 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54,966
7 days−$54,952
14 days−$53,837
30 days−$53,332
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 69¢ $2,917 $2,953 +$36 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 32¢ 32¢ $1,430 $1,430 +$0 (+0%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $500 $475 −$25 (-5%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $377 $330 −$47 (-12%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $200 $300 +$100 (+50%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 41¢ 48¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 35¢ 37¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage FORZE Reload 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Aurora 47¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner SemperFi Esports 21¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 50¢ 0¢ $376 $0 −$376 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B M80 37¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B NRG 14¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner 4Pirates 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Passion UA 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 30¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Legacy 46¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 43¢ 0¢ $430 $0 −$430 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Jun 12 $9 +$68 +725%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $376 −$376 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$16 -91%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $218 −$224 -103%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 +$49 +59777%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $430 −$430 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) Jun 12 $430 −$430 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) Jun 12 $47 −$36 -76%
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Gro Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $138 −$132 -96%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $225 −$225 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1) Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier Jun 12 $120 −$60 -50%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $147 −$155 -106%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$22 -84%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Jun 12 $481 −$470 -98%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3) Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Jun 12 $345 −$345 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $279 −$279 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $88 −$85 -97%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Eur Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag Jun 12 $25 −$44 -174%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Jun 12 $41 −$199 -490%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $450 −$450 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Jun 12 $110 −$100 -91%
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $56 −$53 -94%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$13 +82%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 12 $880 −$880 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $88 −$38 -43%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 12 $719 −$719 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$3,368
other 3% +$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 35¢ $61 26m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 35¢ $63 26m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 35¢ $6 26m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 35¢ $46 26m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 35¢ $6 27m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 32¢ $6 28m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 32¢ $159 28m
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $164 6h
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $200 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $207 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $17 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $6 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $21 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $70 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $106 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $6 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $6 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $11 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $4 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $4 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 482 -23.8% -31.0% 14% 5% -55.0%
≤30d 626 -16.3% -24.2% 24% 8% -35.2%
≤90d 658 -16.3% -24.3% 25% 9% -32.8%
all 658 -16.3% -24.3% 25% 9% -32.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.3% 9% -32.8%
10% ← realistic here -31.5% 8% -39.3%
15% -38.2% 7% -45.1%
20% -44.2% 6% -50.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,491.53 · official $5,491.76 (match) · 3500 history records