trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Vitality | 53¢ | 73¢ | $60 | $83 | +$23 (+39%) |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Spirit | 57¢ | 80¢ | $20 | $28 | +$8 (+41%) |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $85 | $0 | −$85 (-100%) |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $0 | −$13 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Team Falcons | 19¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | FUT Esports | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | Legacy | 9¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $26 | +$5 | +20% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | Jun 12 | $20 | +$18 | +90% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major | Jun 12 | $15 | −$5 | -33% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $38 | +$3 | +8% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 19 | $93 | −$80 | -86% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20? | Dec 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Dec 18 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +45.8% | +31.9% | 57% | 57% | +17.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +45.8% | +31.9% | 57% | 57% | +17.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +45.8% | +31.9% | 57% | 57% | +17.5% |
| all | 10 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 40% | 40% | -57.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 40% | -57.5% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 30% | -61.6% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 30% | -65.3% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 30% | -68.7% |