Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:28:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7948…dad7
sports · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$40 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$134
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$399
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$134
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses19 / 16
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions6
Markets (closed)35 / 41
History coverage5d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days−$94
14 days−$94
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 10¢ 100¢ $15 $149 +$134 (+895%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 48¢ 68¢ $100 $140 +$40 (+40%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 76¢ 100¢ $50 $66 +$16 (+32%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 59¢ 52¢ $50 $44 −$6 (-13%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 14¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 70¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner LOS 68¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 10¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: The Otter Side vs mCon esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage The Otter Side 97¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 +$36 +72%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$16 +32%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$14 +27%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $51 +$37 +73%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $26 +$53 +206%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$20 +40%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $51 +$26 +52%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$17 +33%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$50 +98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$24 +48%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$23 +46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $22 −$21 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $25 +$12 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $62 −$60 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $25 +$13 +52%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 11 $25 +$21 +83%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $25 +$10 +38%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $25 +$10 +38%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$9 +36%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$6 +26%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $25 +$11 +43%
LoL: The Otter Side vs mCon esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 08 $25 −$25 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 48¢ $102 2m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 59¢ $51 12m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 10¢ $15 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 30¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 25¢ $20 2h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 70¢ $50 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 57¢ $51 4h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 78¢ $50 4h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 75¢ $50 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 16¢ $10 4h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 76¢ $50 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 73¢ $50 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $51 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 15¢ $5 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $50 9h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $26 10h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $51 11h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 5¢ $21 25h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 71¢ $50 25h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 75¢ $50 26h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 50¢ $51 27h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 65¢ $51 27h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 67¢ $50 28h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 68¢ $50 29h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 14¢ $22 33h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 5¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 12¢ $51 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 3¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 6¢ $10 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $25 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -14.5% -22.6% 54% 54% -16.4%
≤30d 35 -14.5% -22.6% 54% 54% -16.4%
≤90d 35 -14.5% -22.6% 54% 54% -16.4%
all 35 -14.5% -22.6% 54% 54% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 54% -16.4%
10% -30.0% 54% -24.4%
15% -36.8% 43% -31.7%
20% -43.0% 20% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $398.56 · official $398.56 (match) · 65 history records