Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x793f…6d60
crypto · 1347 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$170 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$169 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$26
Realized−$169
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1189 / 169
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1358 / 1347
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day720.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 4 History 1358 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$174
7 days−$169
14 days−$169
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 43¢ 50¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 64¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 47¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 50¢ 53¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 45¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 95¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 35¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 71¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 79¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 95¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 88¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 90¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 86¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$78
other 14% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1358 -5.2% -14.2% 88% 8% -11.8%
≤30d 1358 -5.2% -14.2% 88% 8% -11.8%
≤90d 1358 -5.2% -14.2% 88% 8% -11.8%
all 1358 -5.2% -14.2% 88% 8% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover720.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 8% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 2% -20.2%
15% -29.9% 1% -27.9%
20% -36.8% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.97 · official $25.80 (match) · 3500 history records