Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7932…5b38
sports · 482 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$12,694 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,688 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$12,688
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses291 / 191
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$2,132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)482 / 482
History coverage68d
Avg bet$438
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 482 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,906
7 days−$3,382
14 days−$3,105
30 days−$9,449
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 55¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 35¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 28¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03? Yes 27¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 59¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 18¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 53¢ $314 $0 −$314 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30? Yes 25¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon Alex Michelsen 66¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan Daniel Galan 55¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton 71¢ $324 $0 −$324 (-100%)
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami Jacopo Vasami 44¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 53¢ $466 $0 −$466 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur Damir Dzumhur 68¢ $477 $0 −$477 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 68¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis Andrej Nedic 63¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 96¢ $680 $0 −$680 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 70¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 66¢ $474 $0 −$474 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi Luciano Darderi 83¢ $271 $0 −$271 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Daniel Evans 32¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? No 65¢ $340 $0 −$340 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $908 +$345 +38%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $175 −$16 -9%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef Jun 14 $606 −$100 -16%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $1,127 −$435 -39%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $101 +$33 +33%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $402 +$39 +10%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $203 −$200 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $204 −$200 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $1,443 +$76 +5%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $40 +$30 +73%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $138 −$135 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $479 −$474 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $305 +$139 +46%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $396 −$198 -50%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $701 −$55 -8%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1,307 −$613 -47%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1,056 +$224 +21%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $303 −$165 -55%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $233 +$20 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $463 −$228 -49%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $472 −$466 -99%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $504 −$128 -25%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $502 +$85 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $506 −$500 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $204 +$137 +67%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $319 −$314 -99%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $407 +$481 +118%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $304 −$300 -99%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $620 +$391 +63%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $1,107 −$164 -15%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $408 +$346 +85%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $604 −$600 -99%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $304 −$300 -99%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $302 −$300 -99%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $803 +$105 +13%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $1,010 +$177 +18%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $102 +$68 +67%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $130 +$49 +38%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $201 +$40 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $202 +$110 +54%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $405 −$200 -49%
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 10 $1,005 +$179 +18%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 09 $395 −$9 -2%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $755 +$206 +27%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 09 $103 −$90 -88%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $605 +$251 +41%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $306 −$300 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$9,389
other 5% −$2,636
world 3% −$321
finance 0% −$326
politics 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm SELL Martin Damm 69¢ $63 45m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 71¢ $403 52m
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 16¢ $103 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef SELL Ashlyn Krueger 85¢ $172 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef SELL Ashlyn Krueger 85¢ $224 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef SELL Ashlyn Krueger 85¢ $6 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 70¢ $505 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef SELL Ashlyn Krueger 85¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef SELL Ashlyn Krueger 85¢ $121 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef SELL Ashlyn Krueger 85¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Raphael Collignon 76¢ $73 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut SELL Roberto Bautista Agut 24¢ $63 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef BUY Ashlyn Krueger 80¢ $503 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 37¢ $102 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 92¢ $501 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Laura Samson $67 15h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 58¢ $506 17h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 36¢ $81 17h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 51¢ $119 17h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Zeynep Sonmez 100¢ $134 17h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 75¢ $101 18h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Dino Prizmic 94¢ $441 20h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 51¢ $203 20h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 32¢ $204 20h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 85¢ $402 21h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 99¢ $1,314 21h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 94¢ $1,251 21h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 57¢ $205 22h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 41¢ $102 23h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 73¢ $91 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -19.0% -26.7% 49% 41% -18.9%
≤30d 257 -7.5% -16.3% 60% 42% -15.3%
≤90d 482 -6.8% -15.7% 60% 48% -14.7%
all 482 -6.8% -15.7% 60% 48% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 48% -14.7%
10% -23.7% 35% -22.9%
15% -31.1% 22% -30.3%
20% -37.9% 14% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1214 history records