Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:55:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7927…2c5e
crypto · 339 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses269 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)339 / 339
History coverage10d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day34.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$15
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 269 +2.5% -7.2% 78% 69% -8.2%
≤30d 339 +0.5% -9.1% 79% 64% -9.9%
≤90d 339 +0.5% -9.1% 79% 64% -9.9%
all 339 +0.5% -9.1% 79% 64% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 64% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 32% -18.5%
15% -25.7% 18% -26.4%
20% -33.0% 11% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 622 history records