Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:10:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

79
0x7900…aa33
crypto · 151 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$31 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$36
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses60 / 90
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)150 / 151
History coverage65d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$9
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 56¢ 8¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$4 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $6 +$7 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET May 26 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET May 26 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6AM ET May 25 $2 +$3 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET May 25 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET May 24 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET May 23 $2 +$2 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$34
other 20% +$16
sports 14% −$18
world 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 56¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 33h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 37h
Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $6 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -44.2% -49.5% 33% 33% -40.7%
≤30d 75 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 35% -21.5%
≤90d 150 -7.8% -16.5% 40% 39% -17.4%
all 150 -7.8% -16.5% 40% 39% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.5% 39% -17.4%
10% -24.5% 39% -25.3%
15% -31.8% 38% -32.5%
20% -38.5% 37% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.67 · official $2.37 · 237 history records