Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T13:56:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
78 0x78ed…c9be crypto 217 markets active 17d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3313 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,491 (-15%) realized −$1,491 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -64% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -72% what you keep after slip
Net edge-72%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate14%91W / 578L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day3313.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$219
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3313 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-67.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 456 -97.6% -97.8% 1% 1% -99.2%
≤30d 669 -64.0% -67.5% 14% 10% -24.3%
≤90d 669 -64.0% -67.5% 14% 10% -24.3%
all 669 -64.0% -67.5% 14% 10% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3313.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -67.5% 10% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -70.6% 7% -31.6%
15% -73.4% 6% -38.2%
20% -76.0% 4% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -64% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -31% → late -97% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
15.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$5 · ×1.92 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.3 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized−$1,491
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses91 / 578
Open positions0
Markets (closed)669 / 217
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day3313.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 669 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +108%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 +113%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $16 −$16 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down on June 9? Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 28 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 16d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 16d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 16d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $0 16d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 16d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 16d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 16d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 16d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.30 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records