trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 19 | -84.8% | -86.3% | 11% | 11% | -79.0% |
| all | 24 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 25% | 25% | -52.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.3% | 25% | -52.4% |
| 10% | -60.5% | 25% | -56.9% |
| 15% | -64.3% | 21% | -61.1% |
| 20% | -67.8% | 21% | -64.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | Paper Rex | 73¢ | 56¢ | $360 | $277 | −$83 (-23%) |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above $640? | Apr 03 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above $630? | Apr 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above $650? | Apr 03 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference? | Apr 03 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | Apr 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of th | Apr 03 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Al | Apr 03 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of th | Apr 03 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Apr 03 | $212 | −$212 | -100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Apr 03 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | Apr 03 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Apr 03 | $209 | −$202 | -96% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Apr 03 | $32 | +$20 | +61% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $209 | +$48 | +23% |
| Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026? | Mar 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote? | Mar 18 | $25 | +$60 | +241% |
| Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Mar 14 | $183 | +$143 | +78% |
| Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 4 Winner | Mar 14 | $50 | +$29 | +57% |
| Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winner | Mar 14 | $53 | +$50 | +95% |