Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:43:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78e1…e09c
crypto · 987 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$242 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$242 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$242
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses391 / 596
Open positions0
Markets (closed)987 / 987
History coverage18d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day65.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 987 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days−$58
14 days−$40
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$36 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$242
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $6 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $6 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 389 -6.6% -15.5% 42% 42% -12.3%
≤30d 987 -7.9% -16.7% 40% 40% -14.3%
≤90d 987 -7.9% -16.7% 40% 40% -14.3%
all 987 -7.9% -16.7% 40% 40% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 40% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 39% -22.5%
15% -31.9% 37% -30.0%
20% -38.6% 33% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1862 history records